{"id":15373,"date":"2018-02-18T18:07:45","date_gmt":"2018-02-18T18:07:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/pascaleditions.com\/peterthomassimon\/?p=15373"},"modified":"2018-02-18T20:00:42","modified_gmt":"2018-02-18T20:00:42","slug":"russian-distraction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/pascaleditions.com\/peterthomassimon\/russian-distraction\/","title":{"rendered":"The Russian Distraction"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I find the term &#8220;Fake News&#8221; off-putting, because so much of what we read nowadays isn&#8217;t exactly &#8220;fake&#8221; so much as it&#8217;s merely commentary pretending to be news.\u00a0 Do we really care if Donald Trump once slept with a Playboy Bunny, for instance?\u00a0 It may be true, or it may just be the Bunny chasing the carrots of a lucrative book deal and the fawning press coverage that comes along with any attempted debasement of the President.\u00a0 Its value as a genuine <em>political development<\/em> is nil; its only real value is as distraction.  <\/p>\n<p>A recent piece of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2018\/02\/17\/opinion\/russia-interference-elections-trump.html?rref=collection%2Fsectioncollection%2Fopinion\">political analysis<\/a> in the <em>Times<\/em> over the current Russian distraction brought this to mind.\u00a0 The author takes it as a given that Mueller&#8217;s recent indictment of thirteen alleged Russian trolls is true &#8212; after all, we live in a new dispensation under which accusation supplants old-fashioned practices like evidence and trials &#8212; adding that, &#8220;it\u2019s natural to think that Russia\u2019s primary aim was to achieve the upset Trump victory we now know occurred. But if they were relying on the same polls as the rest of the world, they would have regarded that as a long-shot.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>So why do it?\u00a0 &#8220;The author hypothesizes that &#8220;Russia\u2019s core goal was to sow doubt about the integrity and fairness of American elections \u2014 and, by implication, erode the credibility of any criticism aimed at Russia\u2019s&#8230;&#8221;\u00a0 The <em>real<\/em> goal was to subvert our &#8220;attitudes toward democracy.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Now I can see why Russia might want 20% of America&#8217;s uranium, and why it might want to know that senior\u00a0 Administration officials, even figures of influence like a former President, would be amenable to bribery. Hence the Uranium One matter seems to me to be a reasonable intelligence operation, well worth the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/opinions\/yes-the-clintons-should-be-investigated\/2017\/11\/19\/d88bb652-cb15-11e7-b0cf-7689a9f2d84e_story.html?utm_term=.98c6e6539aff\">$145 million sent to the Clinton Foundation<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>What I can&#8217;t see is an agency that is the heir of the hard-nosed KGB spending millions, or even pennies, to change American &#8220;attitudes toward democracy.&#8221; \u00a0Who over there cares what our &#8220;attitudes&#8221; toward democracy are? \u00a0If a bunch of us suddenly started favoring monarchy, or parliamentarianism, how would that gratify the Kremlin? \u00a0If we started favoring fascism instead, would they like that better? \u00a0The last time Russia mixed it up with a fascist state, times were not exactly jolly; the USSR got along a lot better with the Weimar Republic than with the Nazi state. \u00a0The Russians don&#8217;t appear to favor democracy much personally, but I should think they would want to strengthen it elsewhere all they can. \u00a0Democracies tend to leave Russia alone. \u00a0The Hitlers invade, but the Churchills don&#8217;t.<\/p>\n<p>For this reason (and a few others) I find the notion of Russian interference weird.\u00a0 They spy on us, of course&#8211;who doesn&#8217;t? \u00a0But mostly, I imagine, to pirate tech, to find out what crazy things we&#8217;re likely to do in places like Syria and Iran that are close to their nation, and because that&#8217;s what intelligence agencies do. \u00a0Intelligence, like all other modern bureaucratic activity, strives to be cost-effective; you have to get something for it to justify the cost.<\/p>\n<p>Why put in millions (not to mention risking serious blowback) purely to get a larger number of Americans thinking democracy is shittier than we already think it is? \u00a0After all, the\u00a0<i>Times<\/i>, the\u00a0<i>Post<\/i>, CNN are already doing all they can to suggest that the Electoral college is rubbish, the voters are Deplorables, party polarization is toxic and worsening, Congress and the White House are in eternal gridlock, that the system is so out of whack that it puts a demented racist at the helm. \u00a0Why should Russia spend money poisoning our views of democracy when the media do it so much better for free?<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein stated flatly in his press conference, \u00a0\u201cThere is no allegation in this indictment that any American was a knowing participant in this illegal activity. There is no allegation in the indictment that the charged conduct altered the outcome of the 2016 election.\u201d Well, that seems to put the Russian collusion story to bed, and it suggests that the activity cited was completely useless. So why would Russia even bother?<\/p>\n<p>It may be objected that while<i>\u00a0I\u00a0<\/i>think dissing democracy in general and Hillary in particular on social media makes no sense, Mueller has indicted thirteen Russian nationals, so Game Over!\u00a0 Russian interfered! \u00a0To no effect, maybe, but so what?<\/p>\n<p>Well, the problem that I have with that is that, as I understand American traditions and law, we are supposed to extend the blessings of democracy to all immigrants and visitors to our fair shores, and one of these is the First Amendment, protecting people&#8217;s right to free speech. \u00a0So if a bunch of Russians, funded or otherwise, Kremlin-connected or not, posted messages on Twitter and chatted up Jill and Bernie and Donald but not Hillary on public forums, what are we supposed to do about it? Isn&#8217;t it a violation of our democracy to not allow them to express their views?\u00a0 They don&#8217;t have to come to America at all, for that matter. Why can&#8217;t they do the same thing from the comfort of their dachas?<\/p>\n<p>If the (alleged) trolls were extradited to the US, once here, why could they not claim it an infringement on their freedom of speech to be punished for merely\u00a0<i>saying\u00a0<\/i>things?\u00a0 Why is it a high crime for a Russian to say &#8220;Hillary, ugh!&#8221; when tens of millions of Americans, and people all over the world, were saying the same thing and having it show up on American browsers?<\/p>\n<p>The fact is, there&#8217;s really nothing you can do to keep people from posting things on social media, or from doing so under made-up names.\u00a0In theory\u00a0we can make it a crime to criticize any Democratic candidate whatever, but practice is another story.\u00a0 Those who think you can censor the entire internet simply don&#8217;t understand how it works.<\/p>\n<p>But here&#8217;s what\u00a0really<i>\u00a0<\/i>puzzles me about all this.\u00a0 It was known beforehand. The\u00a0FBI indictment is little more than a plagiarized version of a 2013 Atlantic article, a 2014 BuzzFeed report, and Ukranian article published in 2015 that mentions\u00a0<i>all thirteen<\/i>\u00a0of the Russian individuals named in the Mueller indictment:<\/p>\n<p>ATLANTIC: Russians Online Comment Army (2013)<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/international\/archive\/2013\/10\/russias-online-comment-propaganda-army\/280432\/\">https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/international\/archive\/2013\/10\/russias-online-comment-propaganda-army\/280432\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>BUZZFEED: Documents Show How Russia\u2019s Troll Army Hit America (2014)<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/archive.fo\/2ZomP\">https:\/\/archive.fo\/2ZomP<\/a><\/p>\n<p>UKRANIAN ARTICLE (2015):<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/translate.google.com\/translate?hl=en&amp;sl=auto&amp;tl=en&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.radiosvoboda.org%2Fa%2F26903778.html\">https:\/\/translate.google.com\/translate?hl=en&amp;sl=auto&amp;tl=en&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.radiosvoboda.org%2Fa%2F26903778.html<\/a><\/p>\n<p>So basically, these activities were being reported on &#8212; names named and everything &#8212; for as long as almost five years prior to the election. All of it during the Obama administration. And no one in the FBI or the intelligence agencies said or did anything. Why did it take Trump to come onto scene, and\u00a0one and a half\u00a0<i>years<\/i>\u00a0and\u00a0<i>nearly ten million dollars<\/i>\u00a0of &#8220;investigating&#8221; to click over to an readily available BuzzFeed article?\u00a0 Why did it take\u00a0Bob Mueller and his staff of elite attorneys over thirteen months to read and copy-paste an article from 2013 that I pulled up in two minutes over my bacon and eggs after reading about his indictment?<\/p>\n<p>Oh, and while we&#8217;re on the subject, let&#8217;s also review Russian busts of CIA spies running fake companies that don&#8217;t exist anywhere in Russian financial records:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/thesaker.is\/a-brief-history-of-the-kremlin-trolls\/\">https:\/\/thesaker.is\/a-brief-history-of-the-kremlin-trolls\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Apparently, &#8220;The United Business Registry database in Russia works according to the Federal laws, so after twelve months of inactivity a business is simply liquidated. The\u00a0<i>Internet Research Agency<\/i>\u00a0was liquidated in December 2016 by the government system after it been inactive. Its inactivity implied that the company had no employees, no office, and no bank transactions for at least twelve months.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>No employees, no office, no bank transactions&#8211;no evidence?\u00a0\u00a0Don&#8217;t be silly.\u00a0 Russian interference must be found, even if its effect is non-existent, and Russians and Russian entities must be indicted, even if they don&#8217;t appear to be in-country any more, or even exist.\u00a0 Is this news, really, or is it simply Pirandello:\u00a0 six anti-Trump narratives in search of a conspiracy?<\/p>\n<p>Stupidity and incompetence, raised to a high intensity, sometimes give the appearance of mystery and complexity:\u00a0 surely, we think, there&#8217;s a<em> reason<\/em> that these things don&#8217;t quite add up.\u00a0 Maybe sometimes there is.\u00a0 But increasingly the Mueller indictments appear to be only a face-saving attempt to point a finger at Russia so as to distract attention from an Obama administration whose bumbling and corruption is getting ever harder to hide.<\/p>\n<p>Let no one imagine I say that to defend Donald Trump.\u00a0 I do think it is\u00a0<i>really<\/i>\u00a0unlikely that the Russian government would do something as risky, costly, and near-impossible to do as rig an American Presidential election.\u00a0 If Hillary, with her billion-and-a-half dollar campaign expenditures and with the whole of the establishment media (and apparently help from FBI and intelligence agency notables) couldn&#8217;t do it, thirteen Twitter trolls sure aren&#8217;t going to pull it off.\u00a0 But the attempt isn&#8217;t flatly<em> impossible.<\/em>\u00a0Just silly.<\/p>\n<p>The thing is, there are larger issues.\u00a0 What we are failing to understand is the uncontrollability, unreliability and radical transparency imposed by the internet and digitized communications generally, and the ambiguity and untrustworthiness of intelligence in a politically polarized environment.\u00a0 We need to think more deeply about those things, and we would, if we could lift our eyes from Donald Trump to the evolving media seas in which the hated White Whale swims.\u00a0 Unfortunately, throwing a harpoon into the White Whale is all that Trump Derangement Syndrome allows us.<br \/>\n&nbsp;<br \/>\n&nbsp;<br \/>\n&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I find the term &#8220;Fake News&#8221; off-putting, because so much of what we read nowadays isn&#8217;t exactly &#8220;fake&#8221; so much as it&#8217;s merely commentary pretending to be news.\u00a0 Do we really care if Donald Trump once slept with a Playboy Bunny, for instance?\u00a0 It may be true, or it may just be the Bunny chasing [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":15377,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15373","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - 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